Monday, April 24, 2006
Monday P.M. talking points
Now, a few words on Keith Hernandez.
Keith made some comments about a female trainer in the San Diego dugout over the weekend.
Keith reminds me of a former professor of mine. Great guy, great intentions and everything, but a complete mess socially. Ditto with Seaver, who goes on rambling tangents about wine and his dubious Vietnam-era service record that last for several innings.
I guess we shouldn't expect to much, given the fact that the Metropolitans made Ralph Kiner famous as a color analyst. A few gems:
"All of his saves have come in relief appearances"
"All of the Mets road wins against the Dodgers this year occurred at Dodger Stadium."
"On Fathers Day, we again wish you all happy birthday."
"Solo homers usually come with no one on base."
But as I've said several times on this long, strange, trip called BBPOTS, Hernandez will get the chop before the end of May. Book it.
Today's unbridledly optimistic win total prediction is 115.
Fun with Baseball Prospectus
NL East W L Pct3 Avg W Champions Wild Card Playoffs
Mets 12 6 .543 90.4 51.28507 7.48691 58.77198
Braves 9 9 .498 80.6 15.63740 5.82084 21.45825
Phillies 7 10 .466 73.5 5.69280 2.12933 7.82212
Nationals 7 11 .515 81.7 17.64386 6.77644 24.42030
Marlins 5 11 .492 76.9 9.74087 3.63259 13.37346
Sic transit the current BP playoff odds, obtained by simming the season one million times.
I like the fact that our current chances are just under 60 percent. A lot of folks pegged the Metropolitans as a 90-win team before the season, and now they must entrust their fate to David Allen Wright, the all-knower, the doer of all, the most infinite and omnipotent seer in the Ra-mun-rah Vedas.